Jordan Lawlar, 2025 Fantasy Outlook

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Almost didn’t write this one. Not because he’s not worthy, but Jordan Lawlar received one of these posts in the past, and, honestly, if I wasn’t so lazy, I’d search through past archives and prolly unearth two or three more Jordan Lawlar fantasy outlook posts. In 2022, at the age of 19, he went 16/39 between High and Double-A. That’s nuts for a 19-year-old. Then, as a 20-year-old, he went 20/37 between Double and Triple-A and the majors. He was called up already in 2023. When he was called up, I said, “Was listening to Fleetwood Mac’s Everywhere (Remastered) when I saw the news that Jordan Lawlar was being promoted, and the wind chimes playing in the background were perfectly timed as I spun out, arms outstretched, seeing stars because my equilibrium isn’t that good. Then Little Lies by Fleetwood Mac starting playing and all I heard was, “Tell me lies, tell me lies, tell me sweet little young player guys,” and now I don’t know what the Mac is trying to tell me. Do not confuse me, Mac! So, Itch just said yesterday, ‘I get asked a bit about Jordan Lawlar, and I don’t know why he’s not in the DBacks’ lineup tonight. I see Royce Lewis running circles around major league pitchers and wonder if the Snakes don’t taste on the air a flicker of the same potential for an autumn outburst from Lawlar. They’re still in the playoff race. Lawlar has been great since he got to Triple-A and has eleven hits in his last four games, including two home runs on Tuesday night. He’s great and Grey stinks.” What? C’mon! This year Lawlar went 20/36 in the minors, and had a .358 average in Triple-A. He could be the top prospect off boards next year. Grab him in all leagues. Even if Jordan Lawlar isn’t worthwhile this year — and he should be! — this gives us an indication that he should be starting next year with the Dbags, which is great news in itself. Tell me lies, tell me lies sweet little young player guys!” And that’s me quoting me and quoting Itch! Actually, it’s perfect that Jordan Lawlar was comped to Royce Lewis. Guess where Lawlar was in 2024. Too slow! He missed most of the season with a hamstring injury. I did not know hamstrings could be so lethal (to anything outside of a pig). This year Lawlar went 2/6 in only 85 ABs and hit .367 Triple-A. Man, I hope he shakes that Royce Lewis comp, because Lawlar looks incredibly special; please don’t also be fragile. So, what can we expect from Jordan Lawlar for 2025 fantasy baseball?

Rookie class feels light this year — Jasson Dominguez and Jackson Jobe have a quality of “we’ve seen them before,” and the two Baby Sawx have a quality of “We’re not sure when we see them.” To look at the rookie class glass as half filled? Dominguez, Jobe, Anthony and Campbell could be all stars — or even All-Stars — and Jordan Lawlar might be the best one. Enjoy this:

Peep this:

Then watch this:

He has huge power and top five speed. If he’s healthy and breaks camp — two rather daunting hurdles — Jordan Lawlar is gonna seem like one of the biggest bargains of any fantasy draft by the 1st week of April when he has a handful of steals through two games and–Hey, how much can I trust this Magic Eight Ball? The problem with predicting Lawlar is you have to take a bit of a trust fall that he will break camp (and stay healthy). I’m out of the predicting health business. I have to assume a 22-year-old will get healthy and be fine. Breaking camp is another wax ball made by bees. If he hits well in the Spring Training, which he absolutely can do, then why wouldn’t he break camp? If he breaks camp, he could be a top 75 overall player, pretty easily. All he would need is a 12/30 year, and he does that without a ton of effort. I’m going to hedge with the projections and guess he goes down to Triple-A, then is called up quickly. This is more of a hedge than anything else, since I have no idea when he’s in the majors (and no one does, not even him). For 2025, I’ll give Jordan Lawlar projections of 47/7/52/.251/22 in 374 ABs, which is incredibly conservative.





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